Key Trading News 13.04

Key Trading News 13.04

 

The holiday break is coming, but the markets must remain on high alert as the geopolitics has become more complicated of late. And Donald Trump has not dropped the habit of making foreign policy through morning (US time) tweets so market-moving headlines could come unexpectedly (no market-relevant fixed-time points in Trump’s agenda today). Let’s focus here on planned events however.

The main data from the EMU is already behind us with final March inflation releases from main member states. Everything in line with the consensus which simply expected the preliminary readings to be confirmed. The euro did weaken however vs. USD in the morning, trading below 1.065 and close to the bottom of the range from the first week of April

1:30 pm BST, Canada manufacturing sales for February - usually when the consensus pointed to a monthly drop the series moved down even more than assumed, the streak of positive surprises has been really long by now, but we can see that CAD is doing quite well today, coming third among G-10 currencies, just after the Antipodean fx.

link do file download link

Canadian data on manufacturing sales (red) are consequently beating the market consensus (green), which is more and more convinced there should be a big correction at some point; source: Bloomberg

 1:30 pm BST US PPI data for March - the headline and core measure are expected to advance some more in MoM and YoY terms. If the core PPI moves as expected it would finally climb higher than it was in 2H of 2016, possibly to the strongest level since 1Q 2015 so this could see some reaction. Bear in mind however that Fed members have been commenting inflation levels in various ways (commenting if the target has been (close to being) met or not) and that this is just a proxy for consumer price indices.

3 pm BST, USA, University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment. This will be a preliminary check of what happened in April. The alternative measure from Conference Board went sky high, while UoM index is capped close to 98 pts and now expected to lose about 0.5 points. The drop could be even larger if households show the same disappointment markets did when Republicans failed to replace Obamacare and cast doubts about the whole tax cuts, jobs growth and investment spending agenda.

We are still waiting for Chinese data on new loans which should come any time between now and 15-Apr.

The only scheduled public appearance of major central bankers is BoC’s Poloz and Wilkins before the Senate Finance Committee at 3:30 pm BST.

About Author

Our research team will provide all technical and fundamental news as well as all inside information coming from London's City desks to help investors trade fx and stock markets. Be sure that you already follow our twitter account @XMarketsuk in order to be up to date with all latest analysis, news and inside information.

Disclaimer: This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee of or prediction of future performance. X Markets and XSpot. do not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation. X Markets and XSpot. make no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any member of X Markets Websites’ team, a third party or otherwise. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements promoting the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any opinions made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinions of X Markets and XSpot. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without prior permission.

Risk Warning: Forex (FX) and Contracts for Difference (’CFDs’) are complex financial products that are traded on margin. Trading FX and CFDs carries a high level of risk since leverage can work both to your advantage and disadvantage. As a result, FX and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors because you may lose all your invested capital. You should not risk more than you are prepared to lose. Before deciding to trade, you need to ensure that you understand the risks involved taking into account your investment objectives and level of experience. Past performance of FX and CFDs is not a reliable indicator of future results. Most FX and CFDs have no set maturity date. Hence, a CFD position matures on the date you choose to close an existing open position. Seek independent advice.